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Despite fears of an economic recession and a reduction in ad spending, marketers plan to shift spending to social media marketing efforts according to a study by Forrester Research, described in Adweek.
 
Under the social media marketing umbrella are word of mouth, blogging and social networking.  These are fairly low-cost methods of promotion BUT they really are long term strategies. It's harder to tie ROI to these efforts within a certain time frame.

Excerpts from the Adweek article:
 
"Last time around, there was a lot of mindless investment in online," said Forrester analyst Josh Bernoff. "People were dong it because their competition was doing it or because it looked cool. Those are good reasons to stop doing it when money tight."
 
"Procter & Gamble's BeingGirl.com, an online community for adolescent girls, is four times as effective as a similarly priced marketing program in traditional media. Initiatives like BeingGirl.com require a long-term commitment, Bernoff pointed out."
 
Wouldn't it make sense to put more $ into improving conversion rates for traffic you drive organically and from word-of-mouth?  Companies should be concerned with maximizing ROI over the long term, rather than buying traffic through expensive, traditional advertising. 

A great way to do this is through landing page optimizationWeb Design for ROI is a handy book on site optimization and conversion rate optimization that will run you about $26 and give you a lot of tips on how to tweak what you've already got.

Another avenue I think ecommerce retailers should invest in is affiliate marketing programs - which is incentivized word-of-mouth. You pay for performance.  You get immediate sales results (as opposed to a whatever/whenever return with social media) that are also measurable.

Just my thoughts on the matter.  Social media marketing is great to experiment with - but if your budget is tight, stick with something that has a shorter payoff time.
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The overall click fraud rate for the pay-per-click (PPC) industry averaged 16.6% in the fourth quarter of 2007, and the rate of click fraud for all of 2007 was up 15% over 2006 levels, according to Click Forensics, which cited data from the Click Fraud Index.

Key findings from data reported for the fourth quarter:

  • The overall industry average click fraud rate rose to 16.6% for 4Q07. That’s up from the 14.2% click fraud rate in the fourth quarter of 2006 and 16.2% in 3Q07.

clickforensics-click-fraud-1q07-4q07.jpg

  • The average click fraud rate of PPC advertisements appearing on search engine content networks (such as Google AdSense and the Yahoo Publisher Network, but also smaller players) was 28.3% in Q4. That’s up from the 19.2% average click fraud rate for the same quarter in 2006 and 28.1% for 3Q07.

clickforensics-click-fraud-content-networks-1q07-4q07.jpg

  • Q4click fraud traffic from botnets was 15% higher than click fraud traffic from botnets in Q3.
  • In Q4, the greatest percentage of click fraud originating from countries outside North America came from India (4.3%) Germany (3.9%) and South Korea (3.7%).
Via: Marketing Charts

Is there anything one can do to protect themselves or minimize click fraud? Do you believe these stats are accurate?
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